If both parents are "carriers" then it is only a statistical chance of it being a dwarf. But if a parent is a carrier there is a chance of the offspring being a "carrier" from that single set of genes from the one "carrier" parent, but not express it visually also. In layman's terms it is what is called a heterozygous trait.
Exactly what I think as well
Even if this is proven to be true...to breed a positive to a negative still gives that small chance for the gene to be passed on to the other generation. This is true of other genetic mutations such as HYPP, so I would think it possible with dwarfism... The way I see it, two positives give a 50% chance of a dwarf foal, but a positive bred to a negative would still have a 25% chance of passing the gene on. Even if that resultant foal is tested, (and they all should be if a positive parent is involved) and people know it too is a carrier...how can we erradicate this gene if we continue to breed it at all?
Actually, there is no proof as of yet as to what causes dwarfism, or if it can result from one parent or if both must carry the gene, or even if it is caused by non-heriditary factors. It is still theory at this point.However, if it is a recessive gene, that requires both parents to have the gene for a foal to be a dwarf (i.e. homozygous for the dwarf gene) the mathematics would be the same as with any other gene. For example, both parents carriers (Dn X Dn) your percentages would be 25% DD (homozygous for dwarf gene and visually a dwarf), 50% Dn (carrier, like the parents, but not visually a dwarf) and 25% nn (non-dwarf).
That is why I say, "Even if this is proven";
but the chances of passing it on by ONE positive carrier would still be 25% wouldn't it? To me...that is just too much of a chance for something I KNOW my horse carries.
IMHO, if we still breed the carriers...it is all fine and good for the reputable breeders who have the tests done, who keep the papers correctly marked, and inform the potential buyers...but what do we do with the not so reputable breeders? The gene is still going to be there because it is not being culled; so what is to stop these breeders from breeding indiscriminately as they do now...and just sell unregistered stock?
I KNOW it would happen.
I know of two stallion owners myself who continued to breed thier HYPP stallions to grade mares, and you can bet your booties that those mare owners were never informed. There are greedy $%#@!*&'s out there who just do-not-care...